Connect with us

NAR Reports

Pending home sales just slipped – why are buyers dispirited?

(REAL ESTATE NEWS) Pending home sales (contract signings) slipped in November, but what has consumers discouraged right now?

Published

on

equity of homes pending home sales

Pending home sales dip

Pending home sales slipped in November to their lowest level in nearly a year, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), with only the Northeast seeing sales gains in this period.

NAR points to “the brisk upswing in mortgage rates” and ongoing low inventory levels as the reason why some would-be buyers are “dispirited.”

The Pending Home Sales Index (contract signings) declined 2.5 percent from October, and is now 0.4 percent below November 2015, the lowest reading since January.

Rates spiked post-election

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said, “The budget of many prospective buyers last month was dealt an abrupt hit by the quick ascension of rates immediately after the election.” It was good news for the stock market, but discouraged some buyers for the month.

“Already faced with climbing home prices and minimal listings in the affordable price range, fewer home shoppers in most of the country were successfully able to sign a contract,” he added.

Looking forward

Yun indicated prices will continue to rise as supply remains tight. “Some buyers will have to expand the area of their home search or be forced to delay in order to save a little more money for their down payment.”

NAR expects existing home sales to close out the year at a pace of around 5.42 million, dramatically higher than 2015’s pace of 5.25 million. This year marks the highest since 2006 (6.48 million).

In 2017, sales are forecast to grow roughly 2 percent and the national median existing-home price is expected to increase to around 5 percent this year and 4 percent in 2017.

“Much more robust new home construction is needed to relieve inventory shortages and lessen the affordability pressures present throughout the country,” added Yun, repeating his warnings from throughout this year and last.

The Northeast region performed best

Pending home sales in the Northeast rose 0.6 percent, up 5.7 percent above a year ago. In the Midwest, sales fell 2.5 percent which is 2.4 percent lower than November 2015.

The South saw a 1.2 percent decrease, but is 1.3 percent lower than last November. Pending home sales in the West fell 6.7 percent, and is now 1.0 percent below a year ago.

#PendingHomeSales

Staff Writer at The Real Daily, Tara Steele has long covered real estate news, technology news and everything in between. She has analyzed economic data for ages, and relishes in telling the real story behind the real estate industry.

NAR Reports

Existing home sales surged in October, what’s next?

(REAL ESTATE NEWS) Existing home sales rose in October despite continually tight inventory levels and rising home values.

Published

on

starter homes debt existing home sales

Despite the challenges of ongoing political uncertainty, extremely tight inventory conditions, and home values that continue to rise, existing home sales rose 2.0 percent in October, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

This marks the strongest home sales pace since June, yet are 0.9 percent below October 2016. October’s average days on market was 34, down from 41 days on this month last year.

The median price has risen 5.5 percent in the last year to $247,000 with October marking the 68th consecutive month of annual increases. Nearly half of all homes on the market in October sold in under 30 days.

Dr. Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist said, “While the housing market gained a little more momentum last month, sales are still below year ago levels because low inventory is limiting choices for prospective buyers and keeping price growth elevated.”

Added Yun, “The residual effects on sales from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma are still seen in parts of Texas and Florida. However, sales should completely bounce back to their pre-storm levels by the end of the year, as demand for buying in these areas was very strong before the storms.”

Regional performances varied with sales rising in the Northeast by 4.2 percent, in the West by 2.4 percent, the South by 1.9 percent, and 0.8 percent in the Midwest.

Prices also varied depending on region, with the median price in the West rising 7.8 percent above October 2016 (to $375,100), 6.6 percent in the Northeast (to $272,800), 7.1 percent in the Midwest (to $194,700), and 4.6 percent in the South (to $214,900).

Dr. Yun expects conditions to remain competitive through the winter, but housing is experiencing a tremendous hanging chad right now – what will politicians do to the tax deductions that incentivize homeownership in the first place?

NAR President Elizabeth Mendenhall, says the pending tax reform legislation in both the House and Senate is a direct attack on homeowners and homeownership, with the result being a tax increase on millions of middle-class homeowners in both large and small communities throughout the U.S.

“Making changes to the mortgage interest deduction, eliminating or capping the deduction for state and local taxes and modifying the rules on capital gains exemptions poses serious harm to millions of homeowners and future buyers,” said Mendenhall. “With first-time buyers struggling to reach the market, Congress should not be creating disincentives to buy and sell a home. Furthermore, adding $1.5 trillion to the national debt will raise future borrowing costs for our children and grandchildren.”

Continue Reading

NAR Reports

Sustained lull in signed contracts means pullback in home sales

(REAL ESTATE NEWS) Existing home sales aren’t looking super hot this month, but it’s not the bad news that you’re thinking – let’s discuss!

Published

on

Existing home sales slide in June

Low supply has kept home sales muted, with existing home sales dipping 1.8 percent in the month of June, albeit 0.7 percent above June of 2016, according to the National Association of Realtors. The Midwest region is the current bright spot as the only area sales actually rose during this period.

bar
Dr. Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist, says the previous three-month lull in contract activity translated to a pullback in existing sales in June.

“Closings were down in most of the country last month because interested buyers are being tripped up by supply that remains stuck at a meager level and price growth that’s straining their budget,” said Yun.

He added, “The demand for buying a home is as strong as it has been since before the Great Recession. Listings in the affordable price range continue to be scooped up rapidly, but the severe housing shortages inflicting many markets are keeping a large segment of would-be buyers on the sidelines.”

There’s a silver lining

“The good news is,” observes Yun, “that sales are still running slightly above last year’s pace despite these persistent market challenges.”

The median price for an existing home rose 6.5 percent over the last year to $263,800, surpassing May as the new peak, and the 64th consecutive month of year-over-year gains.

Housing inventory declined 0.5 percent from the previous month, and 7.1 percent over the last year. Average days on market rose one day from May to 28 in June, which is down from 34 days in June 2016.

Supply and demand challenges

First time buyers were 32 percent of sales in June, down one percent from both in May and a year ago. Yun says “It’s shaping up to be another year of below average sales to first-time buyers despite a healthy economy that continues to create jobs,” said Yun.

“Worsening supply and affordability conditions in many markets have unfortunately put a temporary hold on many aspiring buyers’ dreams of owning a home this year,” noted Yun.

Spicy sales in the Midwest

In the Midwest, sales rose 3.1 percent from May but remain unchanged from this time last year. The median price rose 7.7 percent in the last year to $213,000.

In the Northeast, existing home sales actually fell 2.6 percent, but are 1.3 percent above a year ago (the median price was $296,300, up 4.1 percent for the year).

The South saw a 4.7 percent dip in sales ((unchanged from a year ago) and the median price in the South was $231,300, up 6.2 percent from a year ago.

Sales in the West declined 0.8 percent but are 2.5 percent above June 2016. The median price in the West was $378,100, up 7.4 percent from June 2016.

#HomeSales

Continue Reading

NAR Reports

Home prices up for third consecutive quarter, median price hits $232,100

(REAL ESTATE NEWS) Home prices continue to rise, and while homeowners may be feeling good about it, NAR notes some unhealthiness about these numbers, especially in areas where new home construction isn’t keeping up.

Published

on

house home interior home prices

Strong performance in housing

For the third consecutive quarter, home prices in America have risen on the tailwinds of the strongest quarterly sales pace in a decade which has put downward pressure on perpetually tight inventory levels, according to the latest quarterly report by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

bar
Rising 6.9 percent from the first quarter of 2016, the national median existing single-family home hit $232,100, the fastest growth experienced since the second quarter of 2015. The median price during the fourth quarter of 2016 increased 5.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2015. In the first quarter, home prices rose in 85 percent of measured markets.

NAR chief economist, Dr. Lawrence Yun says continual supply shortages ignited faster price appreciation across the country in the first quarter.

“Prospective buyers poured into the market to start the year, and while their increased presence led to a boost in sales, new listings failed to keep up and hovered around record lows all quarter,” said Dr. Yun.

“Those able to successfully buy most likely had to outbid others – especially for those in the starter-home market – which in turn quickened price growth to the fastest quarterly pace in almost two years,” Dr. Yun added.

He also noted that many metros have increased demands as employment levels rebound, but new home construction isn’t up, particularly in the South and West, leading to “unhealthy price appreciation that far exceeds incomes.”

Regional performances varied

NAR reports that total existing-home sales in the Northeast declined 2.2 percent in the first quarter but are 4.2 percent above the first quarter of 2016. The median existing single-family home price in the Northeast was $255,000 in the first quarter, up 2.2 percent from a year ago.

In the Midwest, existing-home sales dipped 4.3 percent in the first quarter but are 1.6 percent above a year ago. The median existing single-family home price in the Midwest increased 5.7 percent to $176,600 in the first quarter from the same quarter a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the South jumped 5.8 percent in the first quarter and are 5.8 percent higher than the first quarter of 2016. The median existing single-family home price in the South was $209,000 in the first quarter, 8.8 percent above a year earlier.

In the West, existing-home sales rose 1.6 percent in the first quarter and are 7.4 percent above a year ago. The median existing single-family home price in the West increased 8.4 percent to $342,500 in the first quarter from the first quarter of 2016.

#HomeSales

Continue Reading

Emerging Stories

Get The Real Daily
in your inbox

subscribe and get news and EXCLUSIVE content to your email inbox